汶川M_S8.0级地震前后ULF电磁辐射频谱特征研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

张建国  焦立果  刘晓灿  马新欣 《地球物理学报》2013,56(4):1253-1261

本文基于电磁波频谱理论研究方法,对2008年四川汶川M_S8.0地震前后金河、剑阁及郑州二砂三个电磁波台站的观测资料进行FFT和小波变换分析,研究了电磁辐射数据快速傅里叶频谱变化特征和在不同尺度下小波变化的分解,发现在汶川地震前确实有异常信息存在.结果表明:(1) FFT动态谱图像说明,地震前电磁波频谱变化特征较明显,在时间、频段上均显示了阶段性进程特征,且随着震中距的增大,辐射能量越小,异常出现的时间越晚;(2) 小波分解显示了地震前电磁波异常信号低频部分出现的时间较早;距震中较近的台站,异常信息在高频部分相对明显;距震中稍远的台站,异常信息在低频部分相对明显.  相似文献   

Distributed hydrological modelling of a heavily glaciated Alpine river basin     

E. J. KLOK  K. JASPER  K. P. ROELOFSMA  J. GURTZ  A. BADOUX 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):553-570

Abstract

A glacier submodel was successfully integrated into the distributed hydrological model WaSiM-ETH to simulate the discharge of a heavily glaciated drainage basin. The glacier submodel comprises a distributed temperature index model including solar radiation to simulate the melt rate of glaciated areas. Meltwater and rainfall are transformed into glacier discharge by using a linear reservoir approach. The model was tested on a high-alpine sub-basin of the Rhone basin (central Switzerland) of which 48% is glaciated. Continuous discharge simulations were performed for the period 1990–1996 and compared with hourly discharge observations. The pronounced daily and annual fluctuations in discharge were simulated well. The obtained efficiency criterion, R², exceeds 0.89 for all years. The good performance of the glacier submodel is also demonstrated by integrating it into the hydrological model PREVAH.  相似文献   

The earliest occurrence of peltasperms in the basal Permian strata of the North China Block and the radiation of this group     

Jun Wang  Hans Kerp  Hermann W. Pfefferkorn 《Geological Journal》2014,49(2):129-142

The peltasperm foliage Autunia naumannii (Gutbier) Kerp and possible peltasperm fructifications are for the first time described from the uppermost Taiyuan Formation of earliest Permian age near Wuda, Inner Mongolia. This is the oldest record of this group on the North China Block (Sino‐Korean Platform), indicating an early migration into this area. Data of other occurrences in China demonstrate independent radiations of the group in Cathaysia. All known records indicate that peltasperms probably originated in the tropical extrabasinal areas of Euramerica, and subsequently migrated within the tropical belt and experienced independent regional radiations in Europe, the southwestern United States and on the North China Block. The present discovery of Autunia naumannii (Gutbier) Kerp in China adds a common floral component between the Euramerican and Cathaysian floras, providing more evidence indicating mutual migration of floral elements between Cathaysia and Euramerica. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

南海内波研究前沿与热点          下载免费PDF全文

郑全安  陈亮  熊学军  胡筱敏  杨光兵 《海洋科学进展》2022,40(4):564-580

内波为发生在层结海洋内部的亚中尺度波动,是物理海洋学研究,特别是海洋混合及能量级串研究,不可或的缺环节。孤立内波的突发性巨大冲击能量可对水下航行和工程设施构成灾难性威胁,实现实时监测与预报海洋内波具有重大现实意义。南海是全球海洋中超强内波多发海区之一。长期现场观测表明,吕宋海峡以西海域内孤立波振幅高达150～200 m,且终年发生。因此,南海是目前海洋内孤立波观测与研究热点海域。本文以2015年至2021年间发表的论文为依据,评述南海内波研究新进展,认为7 a来研究成果取得质的提升。第一,实现了由卫星为主要手段2D观测到以卫星与潜标同步3D观测为主要手段的提升。由此催生出振幅240 m超强内孤立波、中尺度涡对内波的调制作用、重现周期23 h 内孤立波、浅海内孤立波裂变现象、深海盆内波及动能级串等创新成果。第二,研究区开始呈现向中部深海盆扩展趋势。迄今为止,南海内波观测与研究集中在吕宋海峡以西和北部陆架,现已出现向中部深海盆扩展趋势。第三,海洋探测高新技术应用于南海内波观测与研究,取得了突破性成果。由卫星高度计沿轨海面高度场二维平面波分解技术得出的南海M₂内潮辐射图,解决了多年争论不休的南海北部内波生成机制和生成源地问题。人工智能技术成功应用于建立南海邻近的边缘海内波传播预报模式。模式预报的一个潮周期之后内波波峰线位置与后续卫星图像上显示的位置之间的平均相关系数达95%,平均距离均方根差为3 km。快速深潜剖面浮标技术应用于南海北部深海盆,得出0～3 500 m 全水深内波波段（周期为0.1～1.8 d）波动引起的水温起伏幅度垂直分布。高分辨水下声成像技术,包括人工地震技术和回声探测仪,成功应用于南海北部陆架内波观测与研究。其中回声探测仪图像空间分辨率达10 cm,清楚显示出内孤立波波包精细结构,可精确测得水平尺度仅为2 m的孤立波特征半宽度。可以预期,大量科学研究成果的积累,特别是采用人工智能技术建立内波传播预报模式的成功实例,必将为开发南海内波精准预报模式奠定基础。  相似文献   

放牧对退化草地近地面辐射的影响     

李小院  张圣微  王帅  李瑞燊  赵星宇  刘敏敏 《中国沙漠》2022,42(1):223-233

随着环境变化,草原地表状态也会改变,尤其是近地面能量收支过程变化更明显。为深入理解半干旱草原地表辐射能量平衡过程对放牧的响应特征,利用内蒙古正镶白旗典型退化草原2020年生长季（6—10月）的辐射通量观测资料,对比分析了禁牧、放牧草地太阳总辐射、地表反射辐射、大气长波辐射、地表长波辐射、净辐射以及地表反照率的日变化和生长季变化规律的差异。结果表明：在生长季,太阳总辐射随着时间推进逐月递减;禁牧区的地表反射辐射总体小于放牧区;各月大气长波辐射日变化幅度很小,处于130—370 W·m^-2;禁牧、放牧条件下地表长波辐射存在明显的季节变化规律,但是二者之间的差异甚微。内蒙古典型退化草原生长季近地面辐射通量有显著单峰型日变化特征。禁牧、放牧草地地表反照率都呈现“U”型日变化规律。生长季放牧草地的反照率明显高于禁牧草地。在禁牧区,辐射分量（地表反射辐射、大气长波辐射）和植被指数（归一化差异植被指数）对净辐射的影响是正向极显著的;而地表反照率和另一辐射分量（地表长波辐射）对净辐射有显著的负向作用。在放牧区,地表反射辐射和大气长波辐射对净辐射有极显著的正向作用;而地表反照率和地表长波辐射对净辐射的作用则是负向显著的。植被状况是影响内蒙古典型退化草原近地表辐射能量收支过程的首要因子。  相似文献   

Technical characteristics of a solar geoengineering deployment and implications for governance     

Douglas G. MacMartin  Peter J. Irvine  Ben Kravitz  Joshua B. Horton 《Climate Policy》2013,13(10):1325-1339

ABSTRACT

Consideration of solar geoengineering as a potential response to climate change will demand complex decisions. These include not only the choice of whether to deploy solar engineering, but decisions regarding how to deploy, and ongoing decision-making throughout deployment. Research on the governance of solar geoengineering to date has primarily engaged only with the question of whether to deploy. We examine the science of solar geoengineering in order to clarify the technical dimensions of decisions about deployment – both strategic and operational – and how these might influence governance considerations, while consciously refraining from making specific recommendations. The focus here is on a hypothetical deployment rather than governance of the research itself. We first consider the complexity surrounding the design of a deployment scheme, in particular the complicated and difficult decision of what its objective(s) would be, given that different choices for how to deploy will lead to different climate outcomes. Next, we discuss the on-going decisions across multiple timescales, from the sub-annual to the multi-decadal. For example, feedback approaches might effectively manage some uncertainties, but would require frequent adjustments to the solar geoengineering deployment in response to observations. Other decisions would be tied to the inherently slow process of detection and attribution of climate effects in the presence of natural variability. Both of these present challenges to decision-making. These considerations point toward particular governance requirements, including an important role for technical experts – with all the challenges that entails.

Key policy insights

• Decisions about solar geoengineering deployment will be informed not only by political choices, but also by climate science and engineering.

• Design decisions will pertain to the spatial and temporal goals of a climate intervention and strategies for achieving those goals.

• Some uncertainty can be managed through feedback, but this would require frequent operational decisions.

• Some strategic decisions will depend on the detection and attribution of climatic effects from solar geoengineering, which may take decades.

• Governance for solar geoengineering deployment will likely need to incorporate technical expertise for making short-term adjustments to the deployment and conducting attribution analysis, while also slowing down decisions made in response to attribution analysis to avoid hasty choices.

  相似文献   

基于蒸散干旱指数的华北地区干旱研究     

邵小路  姚凤梅  张佳华  李先华 《气象》2013,39(9):1154-1162

本文利用卫星遥感资料以及常规气象资料驱动基于地表净辐射、植被指数、平均气温和日温差的蒸散模型来估测日实际蒸散量,并与栾城站涡动相关法测量的实际蒸散作对比验证。定性分析了实际蒸散与各相关影响因子的时空变化规律;通过蒸散干旱指数（EDI）分析华北地区的干旱分布特点,并分别与PDSI指数和降水距平百分率作对比。结果表明：ET模型估测的蒸散值与实测值的相关性很好,其模拟精度对于大面积干旱监测的空间尺度上是可用的;EDI距平指数表征干旱分布的空间分辨率较高,且对旱情的指示和干旱程度的判定比较可靠。  相似文献   

我国地面辐射基准站观测数据完整性和合理性检查评价     

李峰  季承荔  莫月琴  国振杰 《高原气象》2013,32(4)

利用BSRN推荐方法,对2007年6月 2010年12月内蒙古锡林浩特地面基准辐射站的辐射数据质量进行了检查,并对异常情况进行了分析.结果表明,锡林浩特基准辐射观测数据完整性较好,分钟数据缺测率最大为0.012％,满足缺测率低于2％的业务要求.质检结果表明,锡林浩特基准辐射观测数据总体质量良好,但数据异常季节性特征显著,总辐射在冬季超出极端罕见上限值的情况较多,直接辐射易在夏季超出极端罕见上限值;除去太阳跟踪器故障期间的数据,散射辐射超出极端罕见上限的情况也有出现;反射辐射则在冬季会偶尔超出极端罕见上限.总辐射、直接辐射和散射辐射易在夏季出现超出物理可能和极端罕见下限的情况,说明这些仪器在夏季较易出现零点的漂移.  相似文献   

Analysis of the Effect of Optical Properties of Black Carbon on Ozone in an Urban Environment at the Yangtze River Delta,China     

Junlin AN  Huan LV  Min XUE  Zefeng ZHANG  Bo HU  Junxiu WANG  Bin ZHU 《大气科学进展》2021,38(7):1153-1164

Black carbon(BC) reduces the photolysis coefficient by absorbing solar radiation, thereby affecting the concentration of ozone(O_3) near the ground. The influence of BC on O_3 has thus received much attention. In this study, Mie scattering and the tropospheric Ultraviolet and Visible radiation model are used to analyze the effect of BC optical properties on radiation. Combined with data of O_3 precursors in Nanjing in 2014, an EKMA curve is drawn, and the variations in O_3 concentration are further investigated using a zero-dimensional box mechanism model(NCAR MM). When O_3 precursors are unchanged, radiation and O_3 show a highly similar tendency in response to changing BC optical properties(R=0.997).With the increase of modal radius, the attenuation of fresh BC to radiation and O_3 first trends upward before decreasing. In the mixing process, the attenuation of BC to radiation and O_3 presents an upward tendency with the increase of relative humidity but decreases rapidly before increasing slowly with increasing thickness of coating. In addition, mass concentration is another major factor. When the BC to PM2.5 ratio increases to 5% in Nanjing, the radiation decreases by approximately 0.13%–3.71% while O_3 decreases by approximately 8.13%–13.11%. The radiative effect of BC not only reduces O_3 concentration but also changes the EKMA curve. Compared with the NOx control area, radiation has a significant influence on the VOCs control area. When aerosol optical depth(AOD) increases by 17.15%, the NOx to VOCs ratio decreases by 8.27%, and part of the original NOx control area is transferred to the VOCs control area.  相似文献   

多层螺旋CT胸部扫描参数的优化研究     

方文春  赖丽梅  吴治国  吴斌  宋俐乐  罗晓东 《CT理论与应用研究》2013,(3):493-499

目的:比较16层螺旋CT的4种不同胸部的扫描技术参数,探讨胸部检查最适合的扫描参数。资料与方法:回顾性分析2003年6月至2011年4月间CT检查采用此4种扫描参数的患者100例,肺部低剂量检查和常规剂量检查均分别采用1.5mm×16(24mm)及0.75mm×16(12mm)宽探测器进行扫描;有效mAs分别为20mAs及100mAs;管电压、扫描周期及重建层厚等均相同,为120kV、0.5s、5mm。再分别重叠50%重组2mm及1mm的最薄层图像用于三维后处理用,对照分析其影像及后处理重建图像的质量。结果:4种扫描检查方法所得的肺部影像正常结构及所显示的病灶均无明显差异,图像质量优良;采用较宽探测器和低剂量扫描方案的扫描时间及X线剂量均明显减少,所产生的X线辐射也大幅减少。结论:胸部CT扫描采用宽(1.5mm)探测器和低剂量扫描方案进行时,其辐射剂量(CTDIvol)只为窄(0.75mm)探测器和常规剂量扫描方案的20%,但能提供相近的诊断信息。  相似文献